重庆市人口老龄化空间特征分析
Analysis of the Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Aging Population in Chongqing City
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摘要:利用第四、五、六次人口普查数据,以 ArcGIS、 GeoDA等软件为平台,采用空间自相关分析法,对重庆市 1990-2010年人口老龄化空间分布特征进行深入分析.结果表明:重庆市老龄化水平分布的绝对差异、相对差异经历了较为不均衡向均衡发展,然后空间差异再扩大的过程;空间聚集性较强,在时序上有“高—低—高”的波动变化特征;老龄化重心在20 年间向东北移动 7561. 642 米;空间格局经历了剧烈变动,高高聚集型由主城核心区向外围呈“环形”扩散特征,低低聚集型逐渐填充了高高聚集型“环形”中心空缺区域,东北翼、东南翼萎缩至边缘县域;主城核心区由 1990 年的热点区转变为2010年的冷点区,东北翼、东南翼由 1990 年的冷点区转变为不显著区, 垫江、涪陵、潼南等形成热点区.Abstract:Based on the data from the fourth, fifth and sixth population censuses of Chongqing City, methods of spatial auto-correlation analysis and software like ArcGIS and GeoDA were adopted to analyze the spatial distribution characteristics of
aging population in Chongqing City from1990 to2010. Results showed: The absolute and relative differences of distribution of aging level in Chongqing City experienced a process from a relatively imbalanced development to a balanced development to the development of a re-widening spatial deference. Spatial aggregation was strong and the characteristic of high-low-high fluctua- tion change“” was found in its time sequence. The focus of aging has moved7,561. 642m towards the northeast in20 years. Spatial pattern witnessed dramatic changes; high-high aggregation trend takes a“ring-shaped” diffusion from the core area of Chongqing City to its periphery; low-low aggregation gradually fills the vacancy of“ring-shaped” center of high-high aggrega- tion; northeast and southeast wings shrank to the marginal counties. The core area of the City proper has transformed from a hot spot area in1990 to a cold spot area in2010; northeast and southeast wings have transformed from cold spot areas in1990 to inapparent areas; Dianjiang, Fuling, Tongnan and so on are becoming hot spot areas.