孔新海. 提高 GM( 1 , 1 )建模精度的一种函数变换[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2017, (10): 45-49. DOI:10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2017.10.009
引用本文: 孔新海. 提高 GM( 1 , 1 )建模精度的一种函数变换[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2017, (10): 45-49.DOI:10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2017.10.009
KONG Xinhai. Improvement of GM(1 , 1)Modeling Accuracy Based on Function Transformation[J]. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2017, (10): 45-49. DOI:10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2017.10.009
Citation: KONG Xinhai. Improvement of GM(1 , 1)Modeling Accuracy Based on Function Transformation[J].Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2017, (10): 45-49.DOI:10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2017.10.009

提高 GM( 1 , 1 )建模精度的一种函数变换

Improvement of GM(1 , 1)Modeling Accuracy Based on Function Transformation

  • 摘要:为了拓广 GM(1,1)模型的应用范围,引入函数变换来提高建模精度.通过对 F(x(s)) = x(s)/ (s+ C)α(α> 0)进行深入分析,指出了该函数变换能提高建模精度的实质,并拓广了参数α的应用范围,即α∈ R, 并给出了两种确定参数 C,α的简易方法,克服了盲目确定其初始值的弊端.借助该函数变换及确定参数方法, GM ( 1 , 1 )建模精度得到明显提高,说明了该改进方法的可行性.最后,指出了光滑度越好建模精度越高的错误认识,因为函数变换还必须要综合考虑建模序列的近似等比性.

    Abstract:In order to expand the scope of application of the GM(1,1) model, by introduction of function transformation to improve the modeling accuracy has been a general practice. However, it is found that many functions can greatly improve the modeling accuracy yet there is also a too large reduction error. Through an in-depth analysis of F(x(s)) = x(s)/ (s+C)α(α>0) , it is pointed out that the said function transformation can actually increase the modelling accuracy and then the appli- cation scope of the parameterα, namely,α∈ R Then two simple methods for determining the parameters C,α are provided, which perfectly rids the disadvantages of blind determining of the initial values. By use of the function transformation and the method of parameter determining, the accuracy of GM(1,1) modeling is markedly improved, which proves the feasibility of the improved method. Lastly, the author points out the wrong cognition that the higher the smoothness is, the higher the modeling accuracy. It also has to take into account the approximate equality for the modeling sequence.

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