“双支柱”调控对商业银行风险承担的影响
Research on the impact of double-pillar regulation on commercial Banks’ risk-taking
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摘要:2023年中央经济工作会议强调,要“加强政策工具创新和协调配合”,统筹发展和安全,是做好金融工作的关键所在.“双支柱”调控政策可以增强央行对系统性金融风险的控制能力.采用2011—2020年中国242家商业银行的面板数据通过固定效应估计和系统广义矩估计(GMM)方法,从微观和宏观两个角度综合考虑,实证分析宏观审慎政策和货币政策对于银行风险承担的协同效应.结果显示,第一,“双支柱”调控通过影响商业银行资产回报率和存款准备金率作用于银行风险承担;第二,“双支柱”调控效果因商业银行的规模和经济周期不同会产生不同的表现.最后为商业银行完善监管提出相关政策建议.Abstract:In 2017, the 19th National Congress formally proposed the construction of a two-pillar regulatory framework of "monetary policy + macroprudential". Compared with a single pillar, it can enhance the central bank’s ability to control systemic financial risks. This paper empirically analyzes the synergistic effect of macroprudential policy and monetary policy on banks’ risk-taking from both micro and macro perspectives by using panel data of 242 Chinese commercial banks from 2011 to 2020 through the fixed-effects estimation and systematic generalized moments estimation (GMM) method. The results show that, firstly, the "two-pillar" regulation affects bank risk-taking by influencing the return on assets and reserve requirement ratio of commercial banks; secondly, the effect of the "two-pillar" regulation varies according to the scale of commercial banks and the economic cycle. Finally, it puts forward relevant policy recommendations for improving the regulation of commercial banks.